The EU-UKR free trade agreement (DCFTA) envisaged duty-free access with some exemptions, of which the TRQs applied by the EU on selected UKR agrofood products have been the most important
Since Jun-22, the EU lifted these restrictions on a temporary basis using autonomous trade measures (ATMs)
As a result, UKR exports to the EU of products subject to TRQs doubled to USD 4.7 bn; the increase in exports of maize, wheat, poultry and sugar was especially high
However, in Jun-25 ATMs expire and will not be prolonged; this poses the question on future trade regulation related to UKR products subject to TRQs
In this study, we construct four scenarios and estimate the trade and fiscal implications of each of them
